Thursday, March 27, 2014

Philippine Stocks Forecast 2014



Although our economy continues to surge and is still one of the fastest growing economies in Asia last year with a GDP of 7%, the Philippine Stock Exchange (PSE) closed the year 2013, with a gain of only 1.33%, finishing with 5,889, after a high of 7,392 in the early part of the year due mainly to the selloff in May, where majority of the foreign funds took profits and shifted their investments to developed markets. As of March 20, 2014, the PSE index closed at 6,417.35 after the US Federal Reserve announced that it could end its bond-buying program this fall and could start raising interest rates as early as 2015, analyst said.

The following factors contributed to the country’s economic growth: The liberalization of foreign direct investments (FDI), the success of business process outsourcing (BPO) and remittances from overseas Filipino workers (OFWs). The liberalization of FDI has led to an increase in the country’s industrial exports that led to the opening of export processing zones where foreign enterprises can increasingly participate. In its Outlook 2013 report, the Asian Development Bank (ADB) highlighted the Philippines’ “economic renaissance” and cited booming investment and consumption as the main drivers of its economy’s robust growth. The ADB forecasts GDP of 6.1% growth for 2014.

For stock picks, citing consumption sector as one of the main economic drivers, issues of Puregold, Universal Robina, and Jollibee are preferred. Power issues are also good stocks considering that a number of projects will start coming in, and power will always be needed, such as Aboitiz Equity, and DMCI. The property sectors are expected to do well, especially with strong brands, such as SM Prime, Ayala Land, Megaworld, and Filinvest Land.

No doubt, solid and established companies, those with long track record of profitability and leadership excellence are good choices. These are conglomerates (holding companies) or called as “Blue chip” stock, are stock of an established company of substantial size with stable earnings and relatively little risk compared to other stock choices, like SM Investments Corp., Ayala Corp., JG Summit, Alliance Global Group, and LT Group. PLDT is a preferred issue because of high potential dividends and dominates the telecommunications sector.

Typhoon Yolanda would not have a significant dent on the economy. Instead, rehabilitation efforts would have a huge boosts on infrastructure spending and boost construction stocks, namely: Megawide, EEI and Holcim Phils. Banks, Gaming and Leisure stocks are seen to have limited growth. Other choice stocks are port operator International Container Terminal Services (ICTS), and Semirara Mining, the largest coal producer of our country.

About less than 1% of the Philippine population estimated to have stocks in their name due to a lack of understanding of what the stock market is. Filipinos are encouraged to educate themselves if they want to do well in the equities market through reading personal finance and investment books.

Here is our list for the biggest publicly-listed stocks in the Philippines as of March 20, 2014, together the company’s market capitalization, and stock prices. The main groups of the PSEi consist of 16 sectors, as shown below.

BIGGEST STOCKS IN THE PHILIPPINES
(As of March 20, 2014)

Banks
Stocks
Code
Market Cap.
(Million)
High
(52wk)
Low
(52Wk)
Close
Bank of PI
BPI
349,689
107.93
80.95
89
Banco de Oro
BDO
301,151
96.45
68.20
84.1
Metrobank
MBT
219,721
106.54
70
80.05
PNB
PNB
106,426
114.44
65.93
85.2
China Bank
CHB
83,089
70.45
52
58.3

Other Financial Institutions
Stocks
Code
Market Cap.
(Million)
High
Low
Close
Sun Life
SLF
810,937
1,450
1,020
1,330
Macay Hldngs, Inc.
MACAY
27,778
32.4
16.2
26
The Phil. Stock
PSE
22,145
314
297.8
302

Electricity, Energy, Power & Water
Stocks
Code
Market Cap.
(Million)
High
Low
Close
Meralco
MER
320,096
395
247
284
Aboitiz Power
AP
285,513
42.25
31
38.8
Petron
PCOR
129,376
16.2
11.7
13.8
Energy Dev’t.
EDC
109,500
6.63
4.37
5.84
First Gen Corp
FGEN
65,932
25
12.04
19.6
Manila Water
MWC
49,958
41
21.35
24.8
First Phil. Holdings
FPH
40,639
109.7
49
73.55

Food, Beverage & Tobacco
Stocks
Code
Market Cap.
(Million)
High
Low
Close
Universal Robina
URC
304,755
141.4
102.8
139.7
Jollibee
JFC
174,445
185
115
166.7
Emperador, Inc.
EMP
174,000
21
8.6
11.6
San Miguel Purefoods
AMC
37,533
307.6
214.8
225.2

Construction, Infrastructure & Allied Services
Stocks
Code
Market Cap.
(Million)
High
Low
Close
Holcim Phils.
HLCM
83,877
15.68
12
13
Lafarge Republic
LRI
53,462
12.18
8.56
9.18
Megawide Const.
MWDE
21,079
18.38
10.1
12.78
EEI Corp.
EEI
11, 835
15.72
9.2
11.42

Holding Firms
Stocks
Code
Market Cap.
(Million)
High
Low
Close
SM Investments
SM
568,538
962.4
634
714
JG Summit
JGS
348,052
51
35
49.6
Ayala Corp.
AC
335,077
688
500
559
Aboitiz Equity Vent.
AEV
322,477
61.5
40
58.4
Alliance Global Grp.
AGI
288,528
30.15
19.42
27.9
LT Group, Inc.
LTG
195,434
27
13.32
18.06
DMCI Holdings
DMC
180,706
69.5
45.1
68.05
San Miguel Corp.
SMC
168,762
125
54.5
71
GT Capital Holdings
GTCAP
143,971
884.5
690
826
Metro Pacific
MPI
120,770
6.29
4.1
4.64
Cosco Capital, Inc.
COSCO
72,571
18.6
7.48
9.8
Filinvest Dev’t Corp.
FDC
46,307
6.9
4
4.97

Property
Stocks
Code
Market Cap.
(Million)
High
Low
Close
SM Prime
SMPH
411,166
21.3
14.1
14.78
Ayala Land
ALI
402,521
35.7
23.75
28.4
Megaworld
MEG
130,186
4.25
2.9
4.07
Robinsons Land
RLC
83,923
26.35
18.86
20.5
Belle Corp
BEL
58,393
7.01
4.46
5.53
Vista Land
VLL
45,255
7.05
4.4
5.3
Filinvest Land
FLI
36,374
2.22
1.18
1.5
8990 Holdings
HOUSE
31,426
10.4
4.3
6.75
Starmalls, Inc.
STR
29,659
4.06
3.36
3.52
Shang Properties
SHNG
14,911
3.95
2.96
3.13

Media
Stocks
Code
Market Cap.
(Million)
High
Low
Close
ABS-CBN
ABS
26,673
46
27.4
31.2
GMA Network
GMA7
25,543
9.97
7.2
7.6

Telecommunications
Stocks
Code
Market Cap.
(Million)
High
Low
Close
PLDT
TEL
593,721
3,250
2,582
2,748
Globe Telecom
GLO
220,750
1,810
1,170
1,665

Transportation Services
Stocks
Code
Market Cap.
(Million)
High
Low
Close
Int’l Container Term.
ICT
207,474
106.6
77.8
101.9
PAL Holdings
PAL
134,117
6.96
5.15
5.4
Cebu Air, Inc.
CEB
28,782
83.85
46.1
47.5
Asian Terminals
ATI
22,320
13.5
10
11.16

Hotel & Leisure
Stocks
Code
Market Cap.
(Million)
High
Low
Close
Boulevard Holdings
BHI
1,728
.2
.112
.144
Discovery World
DWC
1,126
3
1.79
1.8

Education
Stocks
Code
Market Cap.
(Million)
High
Low
Close
Far Eastern Univ.
FEU
15,159
1,300
1,103
1,104

Casinos & Gaming
Stocks
Code
Market Cap.
(Million)
High
Low
Close
Travellers Int’l Hotel
RWM
149,050
11.34
9.2
9.46
Bloomberry Resorts
BLOOM
103,780
14.24
8.3
9.8

Retail
Stocks
Code
Market Cap.
(Million)
High
Low
Close
Puregold Price Club
PGOLD
121,721
46.7
33.75
44
Robinsons Retail
RRHI
90,025
68.8
50
65
Phil. Seven Corp.
SEVN
24,265
73
18
70

Mining
Stocks
Code
Market Cap.
(Million)
High
Low
Close
Semirara Mining
SCC
136,443
388.8
229
383
Nickel Asia
NIKL
48,830
22.56
14.28
19.36
Philex Mining Corp.
PX
44,877
17.82
7.85
9.09
Atlas Cons. Mining
AT
29,771
22.5
11.68
14.34

Oil
Stocks
Code
Market Cap.
(Million)
High
Low
Close
Philex Petroleum
PXP
13,719
31.36
7.6
8.02

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